Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.080360 1.225403 1.383528 1.568849 1.780271 2.014159 2.292814
2026-01-11 0.867826 1.067327 1.303729 1.605132 1.980115 2.432484 3.021448
2026-01-18 0.737213 0.958504 1.236219 1.611584 2.107685 2.743671 3.625305
2026-01-25 0.635022 0.863467 1.163765 1.589363 2.180279 2.976495 4.138785
2026-02-01 0.552022 0.779907 1.091602 1.551735 2.218377 3.156230 4.588268
2026-02-08 0.484753 0.708453 1.025374 1.510493 2.240521 3.307973 5.005134
2026-02-15 0.444594 0.670376 1.000808 1.523893 2.339328 3.575369 5.616353
2026-02-22 0.405482 0.629087 0.966199 1.516563 2.402822 3.791570 6.166429
2026-03-01 0.369051 0.587845 0.926889 1.496455 2.441729 3.969511 6.669100
2026-03-08 0.329051 0.536904 0.867195 1.436806 2.408763 4.025147 6.969137
2026-03-15 0.305159 0.509719 0.842833 1.432214 2.465590 4.232888 7.549067
2026-03-22 0.292679 0.500218 0.846398 1.474516 2.605677 4.594417 8.437846
2026-03-29 0.265644 0.465939 0.809235 1.450169 2.640064 4.799006 9.114475
2026-04-05 0.249826 0.450232 0.803626 1.483492 2.786723 5.231193 10.294972
2026-04-12 0.231870 0.428560 0.784731 1.489436 2.881466 5.575396 11.347147
2026-04-19 0.212462 0.402064 0.754026 1.468971 2.921661 5.817005 12.220985
2026-04-26 0.193523 0.374456 0.718288 1.434316 2.928666 5.991561 12.974866
2026-05-03 0.176310 0.348450 0.682956 1.396327 2.923772 6.139700 13.689186
2026-05-10 0.166353 0.335859 0.672745 1.408671 3.025840 6.524757 14.986405
2026-05-17 0.155381 0.320098 0.654521 1.401919 3.085331 6.823410 16.123892
2026-05-24 0.144325 0.303087 0.632036 1.383396 3.116182 7.060949 17.147470
2026-05-31 0.131063 0.280151 0.594899 1.328445 3.057551 7.085961 17.651350
2026-06-07 0.123318 0.268451 0.580840 1.324214 3.116662 7.394068 18.913137